Washington Report, January/February 2006, pages 10-11
Special Report
The Giant’s Daughter
By Uri Avnery
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| During an eight-day trip through Asia, President
George W. Bush is introduced to U.S. troops Nov. 19, 2005 at
Osan Air Force Base in South Korea (AFP Photo/Paul J. Richards). |
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A GERMAN poem tells of the giant’s daughter, who found a
peasant plowing his field and brought him home in her handkerchief
to show to her father. But the father said gravely: “The
peasant is no toy!” and told her to put him gently back where
she had found him.
The United States reminds me of the giant’s daughter. Unfortunately,
she has no grandfather to tell her that nations are not toys.
When George W. Bush became president, he brought with him a bunch
of neoconservatives who believed, in their incredible arrogance,
that it is possible to overturn nations, change their regimes at
will, and take control of their resources.
For starters, they intended to put Iraq, Iran and Syria in their
handkerchief. Iraq and Iran because of their oil, Syria because
of its strategic location. Quite incidentally, these three countries
were also considered a strategic threat by Israel, and the neo-cons,
most of them themselves Jews, were glad to do the “Jewish
State” a favor.
The question was which of the three to conquer first, and the
choice fell, as we know, on Iraq. Since the neocons were sure that
their army would be received there with flowers (how else?) and
the war would be over in a jiffy, the next question was who would
come next, the eastern or the western neighbor.
Today, in retrospect, one can wonder which was the greater: the
ignorance of the neocons or their arrogance. They had no idea about
Iraq, and it seems that this did not bother them. After all, they
knew that one stroke would suffice to finish the job and allow
them to move on.
If they had consulted their British allies, they might have learned
something about the country they were about to attack, for example
that Iraq had never been a real state. It was composed of three
distinct regions which had been joined together by the British
Empire to suit its interests. It always needed a dictatorship to
keep the package intact: first the British rulers themselves, later
on assorted local dictators. Saddam Hussain was only the latest
in the series.
When the U.S. army destroyed the power that held it together,
the whole thing fell apart. Today, two parallel wars are tearing
the poor country into shreds: the Sunni rebellion against the American
occupation, and a three-fold civil war. In Washington, politicians
blabber about the new Iraqi army that will, at any moment now,
take over responsibility for security and allow the withdrawal
of most American forces. In practice, there is no real Iraqi army
at all, only separate militias of Kurds, Shi’i and Sunnis,
each of them ultimately loyal only to their particular leaders.
The Americans would like to withdraw most of their forces from
Iraq and leave behind only a small garrison, to secure their hold
on the oil resources. This is a rapidly fading dream. The end will
probably be like Vietnam. American public opinion will come to
detest the hopeless war and the army will withdraw with its tail
between its legs, and leave behind a general state of anarchy.
As for the Neighbors:
The Washington neocons have already dispersed in all directions,
and military action against Iran and Syria is out of the question.
Iraq is eating up the American military, which is composed of mercenaries,
and already a shortage of soldiers is becoming acute. So what to
do? Well, one can try to undermine the two states in other ways,
turning Clausewitz’s famous dictum on its head: “Politics
is nothing more than the continuation of war by other means.”
At this moment, a world-wide American campaign is under way, aimed
at overthrowing the Syrian regime by non-military means. The general-secretary
of the United Nations, who has become His (American) Master’s
Voice, is playing his role, together with many governments which
are dependent on the mercies of the United States.
The murder of Rafiq al-Hariri, the former prime minister of Lebanon,
is being exploited for this purpose. I don’t remember Washington
ever getting so excited about a political murder in another country,
whether of a progressive bishop in Central America or a Muslim
sheikh in Gaza. This sudden urge to see the murderers brought to
justice is really quite touching.
Our government is one of the most active partners in this campaign
for the demolition of Syria. It renders assistance in a hundred
ways. Syria is blamed for the actions of Hezbollah in Lebanon,
for helping Palestinian “terrorists,” and what not.
The chief of our military intelligence department, who frequently
voices almost infantile opinions in our media, is floating all
kinds of conspiracy theories.
On the face of it, that is logical. In return, Washington has
wiped the occupation of the Golan Heights from the international
agenda. Condoleezza Rice is active in Gaza and the West Bank, but
never utters a word about our occupation of the Golan, an area
of sovereign Syrian territory. The acquisition of territory by
war is, of course, a severe violation of international law and
the U.N. Charter, but George and Condi couldn’t care less.
In spite of this, I would suggest that our government think twice
whether we are really interested in destroying the Syrian state.
If this happens, how will it affect our northern border?
I remember a conversation with Yitzhak Rabin in 1976, when the
Syrians were invading Lebanon. Nowadays it is generally forgotten
that it was the Christians who invited them in and requested their
help against the PLO and Muslim forces.
When the Syrians were approaching the Israeli-Lebanese border,
all hell broke loose in Israel. Defense Minister Shimon Peres and
his minions clamored for a “red line” in Lebanon to
stop the Syrian advance well away from the border. Prime Minister
Rabin saw it quite differently. “That’s idiotic,” he
told me. “On our border with Syria on the Golan Heights there
are no problems. If the Syrians take hold of the Galilee border,
quiet will reign there, too.”
Rabin was, of course, quite right. Unfortunately, he gave in to
Peres and the public hysteria. The Syrian army was stopped by our
threats at a distance from the border. The vacuum thus created
between it and Israel was filled first by the PLO, and later by
Hezbollah.
Much the same can happen now on the Syrian border, if the present
Syrian regime collapses and anarchy takes over.
Syria is a very fragile state. True, this is not a case of three
different peoples, as in Iraq, but there are profound, ancient
rivalries between Damascus and Aleppo, Arabs and Kurds, and many
different religious denominations. The Syrians have resigned themselves
to the dictatorship of the Assad family because they are afraid
of anarchy.
(The Assads belong to one of the smallest sects, the Alawites,
who are followers of Ali, the son-in-law of the Prophet. This reminds
one of the Biblical story about the selection of the first Israelite
king. When Saul was invited by Samuel, he asked in wonderment: “Am
I not a Benjamite, of the smallest of the tribes of Israel, and
my family the least of all the families of the tribe of Benjamin?” [1
Samuel 9]. When the largest and strongest tribes cannot agree on
a candidate, they often prefer to pick one from the smallest and
weakest, who poses no danger to them.)
For 33 years now, there have been no problems on our border with
Syria, in spite of the unresolved conflict over the Golan. Who
knows what will happen if Syria falls prey to anarchy? OK, that’s
no problem for America. But it certainly is for us.
Iran a Very Different Matter.
The Iranian nation is united and strong. It may produce a nuclear
bomb. Many believe that this is a nightmare: a fanatical Islamic
state, hating Israel, in the possession of the ultimate Weapon
of Mass Destruction and the means to deliver it.
I am less worried. The extreme anti-Israeli slogans of Iran have
not prevented it from engaging, quietly, in business with Israel,
and not only in the Irangate affair. In practice, the terrible
Ayatollahs do behave in a very sober way.
But if we want to avoid a nuclear Balance of Terror, there is
only one way: to use the time left, while we still have a monopoly
in this field, to make peace—first with the Palestinian people,
and then with all the nations of the region. In the framework of
peace, a nuclear-free zone with mutual inspection can be established.
The trouble is that it is impossible to discuss this issue here,
as long as the matter is classified “top secret.” I
propose opening it up for debate and finally getting to grips with
the problem. The time has come.
As for the giant’s daughter, it is time to tell her: Leave
the nations of this region alone! They are not toys!
Uri Avnery is a former member of the Israeli Knesset and a
founder of Gush Shalom (<www.gush-shalom.org>). |