Washington Report on Middle East Affairs, July/August 2004,
pages 11, 13
Special Report
Zinni Appears on “60 Minutes,” and the Bad News for Bush Just
Gets Worse
By Richard H. Curtiss
With each passing week, it seems, the news for President
George W. Bush just gets worse. The revelations of abuse at Baghdad’s
Abu Ghraib prison continue, and may become even more scandal-encrusted.
A new book by Anthony Zinni, the retired four-star general who
was commander-in-chief of the United States Central Command (Centcom),
and thus in charge of all American troops in the Middle East, may
provide more trouble for Bush. Zinni has leveled even more telling
criticisms of “Bush’s war” since it turned so sour.
Zinni’s book, Battle Ready, was written in collaboration
with best-selling author Tom Clancy. The timing could not be worse
for Bush, particularly because of Zinni’s blunt critique of why
Bush wanted to go to war. Zinni examines why Bush picked such a
bad time go to war without United Nations support; why Bush thought
the U.S. and Great Britain could virtually do it alone; and why
Bush thought he didn’t need allies or much greater troop strength.
He finds virtually nothing commendable about Bush, who may be
the least-prepared American president ever to go to war, or even
consider it. In Battle Ready, Zinni writes, “In the lead-up
to the Iraq war and its later conduct, I saw at a minimum, true
dereliction, negligence and irresponsibility, at worse, lying,
incompetence and corruption. I think there was dereliction in insufficient
forces being put on the ground and fully understanding the military
dimensions of the plan. I think there was dereliction in lack of
planning.”
According to Zinni, the Bush administration’s former special
envoy to the Middle East, Iraq was the wrong war at the wrong time.
In the months leading up to it, Zinni carried this message to Congress: “This
is, in my view, the worst time to take this on. And I don’t feel
it needs to be done now.”
Nor was he alone in his doubts about an invasion of Iraq. Others
included former General and National Security Adviser Brent Scowcroft,
former Centcom Commander Norman Schwarzkopf, former NATO Commander
Wesley Clark, and former Army Chief of Staff Eric Shinseki. Zinni
describes it as a war the generals didn’t want—but the civilians
in the Pentagon did.
“I can’t speak for all generals, certainly,” Zinni said. “But
I know we felt that this situation was contained. Saddam was effectively
contained. The no-fly, no-drive zones. The sanctions that were
imposed on him.
“Now, at the same time,” he continued, “we had this war on terrorism.
We were fighting al-Qaeda. We were engaged in Afghanistan. We were
looking at ‘cells’ in 60 countries. We were looking at threats
that we were receiving information on and intelligence on. And
I think most of the generals felt, let’s deal with this one at
a time. Let’s deal with this threat from terrorism, from al-Qaeda.”
“I blame the civilian leadership of the Pentagon directly,”
As Centcom commander-in-chief, Zinni was responsible
for developing a plan for the invasion of Iraq. Like his predecessors,
he subscribed to the idea that one only enters into battle with
overwhelming force, as did Secretary of State Colin Powell when
he was in the military. Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld, however,
thought the job could be done with hi-tech weapons and with fewer
troops.
Other commanders had views similar to those of former Gen. Eric
Shinseki. “We were talking about, you know, 300,000, in that neighborhood,” Zinni
said, “I think it’s critical in the aftermath, if you’re going
to go to resolve a conflict through the use of force, and then
to rebuild the country. The first requirement is to freeze the
situation, and to gain control of the security. To patrol the streets.
To prevent the looting. To prevent the ‘revenge’ killings that
might occur. To prevent bands or gangs or militias that might not
have your best interests at heart from growing or developing.”
Rumsfeld since has acknowledged that he had not anticipated the
level of violence that would continue in Iraq a year after the
war began. “He should not have been surprised,” Zinni said. “You
know, there were a number of people, before we even engaged in
this conflict, who felt strongly that we were underestimating the
problems and the scope of the problems we would have in there.
Not just generals, but others—diplomats, those in the international
community who understood the situation. Friends of ours in the
region who were cautioning us to be careful out there. I think
he should have known that.”
The Pentagon, Zinni said, relied on inflated intelligence information
about weapons of mass destruction from Iraqi exiles like Ahmad
Chalabi and others whose credibility was questionable. There was
no viable plan or strategy in place for governing post-Saddam Iraq,
Zinni added.
Zinni’s outspoken comments were made on the May 23 edition of “60
Minutes,” the most widely watched current affairs television program
in the United States. It was a devastating indictment of George
W. Bush, and its results were evident in the next national polls.
Zinni told “60 Minutes” that “Ambassador Paul Bremer is a great
American who is serving his country, but he has made mistake after
mistake.” He cited “disbanding the Iraqi army, and de-Ba’athifying
down to a level where we removed people who were competent and
didn’t have blood on their hands that you needed in the aftermath
of reconstruction—alienating certain elements of that society.”
Pulling No Punches
Zinni pulled no punches. “I blame the civilian leadership
of the Pentagon directly,” he said. “Because if they were given
the responsibility, and if this was their war, and by everything
that I understand, they promoted and pushed it…even to the point
of creating their own intelligence to match their needs, then they
should bear the responsibility.
“But regardless of whose responsibility it is,” he added, “somebody
has screwed up…Certainly those who foisted this strategy on us
that is flawed. Certainly they ought to be gone and replaced.”
Zinni was referring to the Bush administration’s “neoconservative” policymakers,
who saw the invasion of Iraq as a way to stabilize American interests
in the region and strengthen the position of Israel. These include
Deputy Defense Secretary Paul Wolfowitz; Undersecretary of Defense
Douglas Feith; former Defense Policy Board member Richard Perle;
National Security Council member Eliot Abrams; and Vice President
Dick Cheney’s chief of staff, Lewis “Scooter” Libby.
Zinni believes these are the ideologues who have hijacked American
policy in Iraq. “I think it’s the worst kept secret in Washington,” he
said. “That is, everybody…I talk to in Washington has known and
fully knows what their agenda was and what they were trying to
do.
“I know what strategy they promoted,” Zinni continued. “And openly.
And for a number of years. And what they have convinced the president
and Secretary Rumsfeld to do. And I don’t believe there is any
serious political leader, military leader, or diplomat in Washington
who doesn’t know where it came from.”
In Zinni’s opinion, their strategy was to change the Middle East
and bring it into the 21st century. “All this sounds very good,
all very noble,” he said. “The trouble is, the way they saw to
go about this is unilateral aggressive intervention by the United
States—the take down of Iraq as a priority. And what we have become
now in the United States, how we’re viewed in this region is not
an entity that’s promising positive change. We are now being viewed
as the modern crusaders, as the modern colonial power in this part
of the world…
“I believe that they should accept responsibility for that,” Zinni
stated. “If I were the commander of a military organization who
delivered this kind of performance to the president, I certainly
would tender my resignation. I certainly would expect to be gone.”
In another interview, with Chris Matthews of MSNBC’S “Hardball,” Zinni
said, “We should have waited some months to get the inspectors
to play out, as they had before. And why not wait? Why was the
threat so urgent that we had to go to war in March and throw aside
international participation?
Explained Zinni, “I believe the real reason was a misguided belief,
a strategic belief that we were going to change the Middle East
overnight and do it on the cheap, without doing the hard work of
the peace process, and help encourage reform in a way that could
be acceptable to this culture.
“I believe that in this part of the world a change is coming,” he
continued. “I believe the change will come in a form that the Iraqis
can accept…It will be in a way that they can decide on their own
form of governance, their own economic systems. It will be more
compatible with the rest of the world, the 21st century. It’s going
to take time and hard work, help from us, and insistence that they
execute the reform. But to try to do it in one stroke in an intervention
like this is absolutely the wrong way.
“I believe we need to secure the borders, protect the road networks
and the infrastructure. And you’ve got to put the troops on the
ground to be able to do that,” the former Centcom commander argued. “I
think there’s going to be suspicion on the street, and I think
they suspect us, like all occupiers in the past, that we are only
after oil and their resources. We have to overcome that suspicion,
and it’s difficult. This was not something to get into that was
a one-year project.”
Richard H. Curtiss is executive editor of the Washington
Report on Middle East Affairs. |