Washington Report on Middle East Affairs, April
2002, pages 96-97
Diplomatic Doings
President Pervez Musharraf’s Vision for Pakistan
Pakistani President Pervez Musharraf shared his vision for the
future of his country at Washington, DC’s Woodrow Wilson International
Center for Scholars on Feb. 12.
Musharraf began by contemplating Pakistan’s past. During the Cold
War, he said, the U.S.-Pakistani alliance was key to containing
communism. “Together we expelled the Russians from Afghanistan and
contributed to the collapse of the Soviet Union,” he said.
Thereafter, however, he continued, tensions over nuclear weapons
development, Pakistan’s domestic politics, and competing interests
in Afghanistan strained the U.S.-Pakistani relationship. Furthermore,
Musharraf said, Islamabad’s involvement with the Taliban—both in
aiding their rise to power and being one of three countries to recognize
the regime—was frowned upon by the U.S.
The events of Sept. 11 occasioned a re-evaluation of U.S. relationships
around the globe, the president noted. New friendships were forged
and new enemies made, he told the audience, as the U.S. forced much
of the world to decide, “Are you with us or against us?”
The U.S.-Pakistani relationship became one of the most important
bilateral relationships strategically, he said. Although seemingly
at odds with the U.S. due to its support of the Taliban, Musharraf
said, Pakistan proved instead to be one of the U.S.’s greatest friends.
Islamabad, he explained, severed relations with the Taliban, granted
the U.S. access to Pakistani airspace, arrested al-Qaeda members,
and cracked down on extremist groups in Pakistan and Kashmir. These
steps, Musharraf said, were part of Pakistan’s pledge “to make a
progressive, dynamic and modern Islamic nation”—which is Musharraf’s
vision of Pakistan’s future.
Musharraf claimed his vision already is reality, and that the
difference between present and future is only a matter of degree.
Those who do not see Pakistan as a progressive Islamic nation, he
said, suffer from misperception. The idea that Pakistan’s government
is bound by its religion is a misperception, he stated. While there
is a strong religious undercurrent in the country, Musharraf said,
never in the history of Pakistan has any religious party won more
than 5 percent of the votes. Pakistan is politically secular, he
emphasized, and the perception that Pakistanis are religious extremists
is an inaccurate one. “We are religious, certainly, but we are not
extremists,” Musharraf said. “Proof of this is my response to terrorism,
a response welcomed by the masses.”
As a nation, its president said, Pakistan stands against religious
extremism.
While Musharraf described Pakistan as a progressive and moderate
Islamic nation in its present state, he recognized that today’s
turbulent times could yield adverse affects. As Muslims are called
to defend their faith in a perceived war against Islam, he said,
the small number of religious extremists in Pakistan could potentially
increase. Well aware of this danger, Musharraf spoke of “a need
to curb religious fanaticism, extremism and sectarian violence.”
Steps have been taken, he said, including banning a number of
religious organizations and parties. Musharraf enumerated additional
steps, such as reforming madrassas so as to include subjects
that will help bring students of Islam into mainstream culture.
He said his government also intends to issue instructions aimed
at controlling activities in mosques so that they are not misused
for non-religious activities. “All these actions have been welcomed
by the general public,” Musharraf said.
In retrospect, he observed, the events of Sept. 11 catalyzed Pakistan
toward Musharraf’s vision of the future. Pakistanis could have risen
against Musharraf in opposition to the U.S. war on terrorism waged
against religious extremists, he noted. Instead, according to Musharraf,
they put their faith in his political maneuvering and welcomed his
decisions.
Reaping the benefits of cooperation, he said, Pakistan now receives
U.S. support, both diplomatic and financial, making Musharraf’s
reforms easier to implement. Pakistan is moving steadily toward
its future as a progressive, dynamic and modern Islamic nation,
Musharraf concluded, and one can only hope that the pace of change
does not undermine the changes themselves.
—Kristel Halter
Reza Pahlavi: A New/Old Approach to Iran
Reza Pahlavi no longer uses “Shah” as his title. Regarding his
future, the son of the late shah of Iran told an audience of retired
foreign service officers on Feb. 20 that he would leave that up
to the people of Iran. “I don’t care if the referendum on Iran’s
future results in a republic or constitutional monarchy. It is simply
important that believers in secular democracy come together to achieve
that goal,” Pahlavi said. “I certainly have the right to return
to Iran, since I am a citizen. But I leave it up to the people what
my role might be,” he said in answer to a question from the audience.
Reza Pahlavi, who now runs the Foundation for the Promotion of
Democracy, says that the only policy he is espousing is that secular
Iranians should all come together and work to expand freedom and
Western-style democracy in Iran. This broad secular-democratic agenda,
which remains undetailed except for its liberal outlook, makes it
possible for many different players and groups to fall under its
umbrella. During the past 20 years, Reza Pahlavi has changed from
a seeker of the restoration of Iran’s throne to a conciliator among
the many disparate Iranian groups in exile.
Amazingly, Pahlavi maintains frequent telephone contact with Iran
and has even appeared on a Voice of America call-in show in which
many listeners from Isfahan and other places in Iran complain about
what is happening under President Muhammad Khatami and the Ayatollahs.
Members of the radio audience ask Pahlavi to send them his materials,
which call for Iranians to work against the government but stop
short of endorsing an armed revolution.
Does Reza Pahlavi figure in Bush administration calculations about
what to do with Iran being part of the “axis of evil,” while remaining
a key ally for a new Afghanistan?
Pahlavi, who now lives in the Washington, DC suburb of Bethesda,
MD, frequently speaks around the country and has published articles
in the Wall Street Journal and the New Republic, among
other media outlets. All this should make him as much a player in
Iran as King Zahir Shah is in Afghanistan—even more so because he
claims to have a workable network already inside the country.
Reza Pahlavi believes there has been more rhetoric rather than
reform under President Khatami. He is appealing for a quiet revolution,
but this is hard to conceive of in present-day Iran, where the security
services and the army remain under the tight control of the Ayatollahs.
Is it possible that, 25 years after his father’s fall from power,
Reza Pahlavi actually could become the Ayatollah Khomeini of a new
secular revolution in Iran? Bush administration experts on Iran
clearly are divided. “We have been in discussions with the Iranians
at a variety of levels and in some new ways since Sept. 11,” said
Colin Powell after shaking hands with Iranian Foreign Minister Kamal
Kharazi. Iranian specialists see Reza Pahlavi as still an outside
player, but a potential rallying point for a new and more secular
Iranian state. Other specialists and retired foreign service officers
see him as lacking the ability to be more than a gadfly against
the religious regime in Tehran. Still, no one is ruling out the
now-almost-middle-aged Pahlavi as a possible player in the secular
versus religious struggle going on in Iran.
Pahlavi told the standing-room-only crowd of foreign service officers,
“My recommendation to Western policymakers, including President
Bush, is to refrain from any military confrontation against my homeland,
Iran...Any such act would only strengthen the brutal grip of the
radical elements of the regime and depress the budding, yet vigorous,
popular opposition against the ruling clerics.”
Like previous U.S. administrations, however, the present one has
given Reza Pahlavi no real official recognition, declining to meet
with him. Pahlavi has met with House Speaker Dennis Hastert and
also with Israeli officials on at least one occasion. He appears
to be working primarily to spread his gospel of secularism among
both Americans interested in Iran and inside Iran itself without
formal U.S. government support. Undoubtedly, Reza Pahlavi is being
watched and evaluated in the foreign affairs “back channel.”
—Eugene Bird |