Washington Report, December 1986, Page 2b
Policy
Hafez Al-AssadToo Clever By Half
By Richard H. Curtiss
The average American has no sympathy for those who blow up
embassies, hijack civilian airplanes, or kidnap innocent civilians.
. . In my view, at least, it is imperative that Arab-Americans,
individually and collectively, get out front on this issue by making
clear their categorical, total rejection of terrorism as a political
tool... This is the right and courageous thing to do. And it would
be the essence of true leadership—the kind that would pay
vast dividends down the road. —Senate Majority
Leader Robert Dole (addressing the National Association of Arab-Americans
conference, May 1986)
In the spring of 1974, in the course of 13 consecutive shuttles
between Jerusalem and Damascus, an exasperated Henry Kissinger remarked
that Syria and Israel were two Middle Eastern states that really
deserved each other. He meant the leaders, who at that time were
Hafez Al-Assad and Golda Meir. Now, with Assad still serving as
President of Syria and Yitzhak Shamir as Prime Minister of Israel,
many Americans would agree that the statement is more appropriate
than ever.
El Al Flight: What Were Syria's Motives?
There are a few Americans, however, many of whom have telephoned
this publication in the past two weeks, who think Assad got a bad
rap when a British court convicted Nezar Hindawi of trying to blow
up an El Al airplane between London and Tel Aviv. The British Government
said Hindawi was linked by intercepted messages to the chief of
Syria's air force intelligence and the Syrian Ambassador in London.
The evidence introduced in court, these skeptics point out, was
a suitcase containing explosives and a timing device handed over
to the British by an Israeli security agent. Mossad is capable of
switching suitcases and, for that matter, of faking telephone calls
and coded messages to and from Syria's London embassy that could
be intercepted by the British, the skeptics note. They ask what
possible benefit there would be to the Syrian government in blowing
up 375 innocent civilians—200 of them US citizens—in
mid-air, an action that would irretrievably disgrace Syria if it
were caught, and which it therefore could never admit to, even if
it were not.
The benefit, these skeptics say, is only to Israel, which is deeply
concerned about Syrian ground-to-air and ground-to-ground missiles,
and looking for western backing for an attack against them.
For every American who doubts the evidence implicating Syria, there
probably are 10 pro-Israel Americans who would believe Syria guilty
even if there were not a shred of evidence. The great majority of
Americans, however, neither know nor care whether or not the Syrian
Government was set up by Mossad. Nor will they lose sleep over withdrawal
of the US Ambassador from Damascus or any economic sanctions that
follow against the government of Hafez Al-Assad.
Assad's Reputation a Factor
That's because the former Syrian Air Force commander from a once-impoverished
village of minority Alawites, who's supposed to have the smarts,
has been, as the British say, too clever by half. In perpetuating
himself for 16 years as the strong-arm ruler of a Sunni Muslim country
with a three-thousand-year tradition of culture and learning, he
has been ruthless rather than wise. In Syria, when Sunni fundamentalists
in Hama rebelled against the Alawite-dominated regime, Assad's troops
killed thousands. When Assad sought to make Syrian political points
with King Hussein, Jordanian diplomats began to die in terrorist
attacks around the world. When Assad first intervened in Lebanon
in 1976, he saved the Maronite militias from defeat by Palestinians.
Then he turned around and shelled into temporary submission the
Christian neighborhoods of the Maronites he had saved. He was both
long-term protector of Lebanon's leftist Druze patriarch, Kamal
Jumblatt, and suspected mastermind of the latter's assassination
in 1977. By the time newly-elected Maronite Lebanese President Bashir
Gemayel was assassinated in 1982, many routinely blamed Assad, although
it was Israel that benefited from Gemayel's death. Syrian troops
entered Lebanon with US encouragement and at the urging of the Arab
League states, which saw Syria as the only power able to end the
bloody civil war there. In retrospect, however, Syria seems to have
sought to divide and rule rather than stabilize.
When Assad sought total control of the Palestinian movement, he
repeatedly tried to assassinate its only leader who is both moderate
and popular, Yassir Arafat. When that didn't work, he encouraged
a close Arafat aide, Abu Musa, to defect and, with the defector
fronting for them, Syrian troops tried to shelf Arafat supporters
in Palestinian refugee camps into submission. When even that didn't
work, Assad began his present practice of encouraging the Shiite
Al-Amal militia to keep major Palestinian camps in Lebanon surrounded
and under seige.
Assad has set up open house in Damascus for a varied collection
of Palestinian rivals to Arafat: Pioneer international terrorist
George Habash of the Marxist PFLP, the Soviet Union's "moderate"
Marxist Nayif Hawatmeh of the DFLP, and thuggish Ahmed Jibril of
the PFLP-GC, who in return for doing Syria's bidding was permitted
to kidnap wealthy Lebanese and foreigners for ransom. And then,
of course, there is the infamous Abu Nidal, who may not be on Syria's
payroll but who, without his Syrian bases, would find it difficult
to operate throughout Europe. In October, when a leader of
Yassir Arafat's moderate Al-Fatah Palestinian group was murdered
in Athens, Greek authorities routinely attributed the assassination
to "Abu Nidal or the Mossad." It's understandable that
they couldn't distinguish between violence committed by Assad's
long-term Palestinian guest or Israel's international spy network.
Both work for the same goal: radicalization rather than peace talks
in the Middle East.
Assad May Have Helped Free US Hostages
Regarding Americans kidnapped in Beirut, the Syrian President seems
to have been more helpful. In 1985 he almost certainly saved many
American passengers when he sent AI-Amal militiamen aboard TWA flight
840 to take control from Iranian-funded and directed Shiite hijackers.
Assad says he can't control these fanatics, who also have carried
out most of the kidnappings of individual Americans in Beirut. Yet
for a long time he gave the impression that if the US got tough
with Syria, it would jeopardize release of the remaining American
hostages.
Within the Arab camp, Assad has been spoiler number one for a decade,
preventing the 21 Arab League member states from taking a united
stand on anything remotely negotiable. The Fez Resolution—the
Saudi-drafted principles which constitute the standing Arab plan
for peace with Israel—received unanimous Arab summit
approval in 1982 only because Syria and Libya boycotted that meeting.
Assad's alliance with Khomeini's Iran, made out of spite for Iraq,
has been an enormous handicap to any joint Arab action to end the
ghastly Iran-Iraq war.
In short, Assad's cleverness on behalf of the Arab cause has done
a great deal to justify Israeli extremism in American and European
minds, further the radicalization of the Middle East, and paralyze
the US will to control its increasingly out-of-control Israeli client
state.
Chances for Peace Reduced
Ronald Reagan's second term and Shimon Peres' two-year administration
might have offered a "window of opportunity" for Middle
East peace negotiations in 1985 and early 1986. The inability of
King Hussein and Yasser Arafat to agree last March on a unified
approach to bring Israel to the peace table closed that window temporarily,
however, and may have condemned West Bank Palestinians to occupation
and the rest of the world to more violence for another decade or
two. George Shultz deserves a large share of blame for letting that
happen, but there's plenty left over for Hafez Al-Assad. Assassinations
by his 'guests' of Jordanian diplomats and Palestinian moderates
clearly were in the minds of both the Jordanian Monarch and the
PLO leader when neither dared take the extra step that might suddenly
have faced the Israelis with a peace offer they didn't want to accept
but couldn't refuse without alienating the US.
Whether Assad was outsmarted by Mossad or outsmarted himself in
London, therefore, he set himself up for the fall.
Decent Americans were disturbed when US bombers attacked one of
the weakest and most unimportant Arab states to avenge a terrorist
attack against American soldiers in West Berlin. Aside from the
truism that violence breeds violence, it clearly was hypocritical
to attack exposed and guilty Libya and leave protected and guilty
Syria unscathed. Now, at least, there is some consistency in American
Mideast policy. The US has no diplomatic relations with Iran, the
font of anti-American terrorism, nor with Libya which extolls it,
nor with South Yemen where Russians and East Germans teach it. Now,
for starters, the US Ambassador has been withdrawn from Syria, where
a good many of the shadowy figures who plan the dirty work lodge
their families, maintain their offices, and comb the refugee camps
for embittered Palestinian kids to carry it out.
Start of a More Balanced Middle East Policy?
Few Americans will disagree with Reagan's rebuke to Assad. And
many will consider withdrawing the American Ambassador a more civilized
method of conveying a message to the Syrian capital than bombing
it. A very few informed and honest Americans will hope that the
action is more than just a diplomatic move against an extremist
Arab leader. It could also be a hesitant first step toward a balanced
US Middle East policy based not upon blind support of Israelis or
Arabs per se, but intelligent support of moderates against extremists
within each camp.
Kissinger's remark concerned not only Syria but Israel. The latter
has a new Prime Minister who ordered the assassinations of Britain's
Lord Moyne and UN Mediator Count Folke Bernadotte in the past, brutal
murders of Palestinians by Israel's Shin Beth in the present, and
who maintains an uncompromising stand against the territorial concessions
for peace supported by the US. Since Israel cannot survive without
constant, massive US economic support, nothing would better serve
the cause of Middle East peace than making it known that the US
message sent this month to an extremist leader in Syria could someday
be sent to an extremist leader of Israel as well. And then, perhaps,
a Senate majority leader will be giving wise counsel to Jewish Americans
on the "right and couragous thing to do."
Richard H. Curtiss, a retired US Information Agency Foreign
Service Officer, was Public Affairs Officer in the US Embassy in
Damascus when Syria broke diplomatic relations with the US in 1967
and was there on temporary duty when diplomatic relations were restored
in 1974. |